This AI Prediction was made by John R. Searle in 2014.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from John R. Searle:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
In his article “What Your Computer Can’t Know,” John R. Searle argues that computers are incapable of truly understanding language or having conscious experiences. He asserts that while computers can process and manipulate symbols, they lack the ability to comprehend the meaning behind those symbols. Searle concludes that while computers may be able to simulate human intelligence, they will never truly possess it.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
It is easy to imagine robots being programmed by a conscious mind to kill every recognizable human insight. But the idea of superintelligent computers intentionally setting out on their own to destroy us, based on their own beliefs and desires and other motivations, is unrealistic because the machinery has no beliefs, desires, and motivations
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Robots programmed by a conscious mind to kill humans is imaginable, but the idea of superintelligent computers destroying us based on their own beliefs and desires is unrealistic. This is because machinery lacks beliefs, desires, and motivations.
John R. Searle is a renowned philosopher and professor of philosophy at the University of California, Berkeley. Born in Denver, Colorado in 1932, Searle received his undergraduate degree from the University of Wisconsin-Madison and his Ph.D. from Oxford University. Searle’s work has had a significant impact on the fields of philosophy of language, mind, and consciousness. He is best known for his contributions to the philosophy of language, particularly his theory of speech acts, which suggests that language is not just a means of conveying information, but also a way of performing actions. In addition to his work on language, Searle has also made important contributions to the philosophy of mind and consciousness. He is known for his critique of the computational theory of mind, which suggests that the mind is like a computer, and his argument for biological naturalism, which holds that mental states are caused by biological processes in the brain. Searle has received numerous awards and honors for his work, including the Jean Nicod Prize in 2000 and the National Humanities Medal in 2004. He has also been elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the British Academy, and the Academia Europaea. In addition to his academic work, Searle is also a public intellectual and has written extensively on political and social issues. He is a strong advocate for human rights and has been involved in various political causes throughout his career. Overall, John R. Searle is a highly respected philosopher whose work has had a significant impact on the fields of philosophy of language, mind, and consciousness. His contributions to these areas have helped shape our understanding of the nature of language, thought, and human consciousness.
Keywords: robots, kill, superintelligent computers