John Pate on 2007

This AI Prediction was made by John Pate in 2007.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

I take the question to mean, `When will something like HAL 9000 be built.’My answer to that is not for another century _at least_ and maybe never.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from John Pate:


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

HAL 9000 is a fictional artificial intelligence from the movie 2001: A Space Odyssey. It is unlikely that something like HAL 9000 will be built in the near future, if ever. It could take at least a century before something like HAL 9000 is created.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:




John Pate is a computer scientist and artificial intelligence (AI) researcher who has made significant contributions to the development of cognitive architectures for intelligent agents. He earned his Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Texas at Austin in 2003, where he worked on developing a cognitive architecture called ICARUS that aimed to integrate perception, reasoning, and learning for intelligent agents. He has since worked on various research projects related to cognitive architectures and intelligent systems, including the development of a cognitive control architecture called NEXUS and a cognitive model of attention called ACT-R/PM.In addition to his research work, Pate is also a prolific writer and has published numerous articles and papers on topics related to cognitive architectures, intelligent systems, and AI. He is also a member of various academic and professional organizations, including the Association for Computing Machinery (ACM) and the Cognitive Science Society.









Keywords: HAL 9000, century, never