John McCarthy on 1977

This AI Prediction was made by John McCarthy in 1977.

Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

because what you want is 1.7 Einsteins and 0.3 of the Manhattan Project, and you want the Einsteins first. I believe it’ll take five to 500 years

Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from John McCarthy:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

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The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

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Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

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About:

John McCarthy was an American computer scientist and cognitive scientist. He is best known for his work in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), which he helped to found in the 1950s. He coined the term “artificial intelligence” in 1955 and developed the programming language Lisp in 1958. He also made significant contributions to the fields of computer science, mathematics, logic, and linguistics.