John Horgan on 2008

This AI Prediction was made by John Horgan in 2008.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from John Horgan:


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Engineers and scientists should be helping us face the world’s problems and find solutions to them, rather than indulging in escapist, pseudoscientific fantasies like the singularity.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Engineers and scientists should be focused on finding solutions to the world’s problems. Pursuing escapist fantasies like the singularity is not a productive use of their time and resources. We need to prioritize practical solutions to the world’s problems over pseudoscientific fantasies.




John Horgan is an American science journalist and author, born on June 1949. He is currently a scientific consultant for the television show “Through the Wormhole” hosted by Morgan Freeman. Horgan is best known for his skeptical approach to scientific claims and his critiques of pseudoscience. He has written several books on a range of scientific topics, including “The End of Science,” which argues that scientific progress has slowed in recent decades, and “The Undiscovered Mind,” which explores the limitations of neuroscience.Horgan earned a bachelor’s degree in literature from the Catholic University of America and a master’s degree in journalism from Columbia University. He has written for numerous publications, including Scientific American, Discover, and The New York Times. In addition to his work as a journalist, Horgan has taught science journalism at the Stevens Institute of Technology and journalism at New York University.Horgan’s work has garnered both praise and criticism. Some have praised him for his critical thinking and for challenging scientific orthodoxy, while others have accused him of being overly skeptical and dismissive of valid scientific claims. Despite this, his work has been widely influential and has helped to shape public discourse on a variety of scientific topics.









Keywords: Engineers, Scientists, Singularity