John Casti on 2008

This AI Prediction was made by John Casti in 2008.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from John Casti:



Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

1. Singularity is the point at which artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence.2. It is predicted that this will occur within the next 70 years.3. Singularity will have a major impact on the way humans live and interact with technology.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

The only real issue for me is the time frame over which the singularity will unfold. [The singularity represents] the end of the supremacy of Homo sapiens as the dominant species on planet Earth. […] But it’s more likely than not in my view that the two species will comfortably and more or less peacefully coexist


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The singularity is a concept that suggests the end of Homo sapiens’ dominance on Earth. It is uncertain when this will occur, but it is likely that humans and the new species will coexist peacefully. This is a major issue for many people, as it could drastically change the world as we know it.




John Casti is an American mathematician and author. He is known for his work in the field of complexity science, and has written numerous books on the subject. Casti is also a co-founder of the X-Center, which provides research and consulting services in the areas of complexity science and systems analysis.









Keywords: Singularity, Homo sapiens, Coexist