Jim Fruchterman on 2008

This AI Prediction was made by Jim Fruchterman in 2008.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Jim Fruchterman:



Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

1. Singularity is the point at which artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence.2. It is predicted that this will occur within the next 70 years.3. Singularity will have a major impact on the way humans live and interact with technology.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I believe that the theory of singularity is plausible in the sense that there will be a major shift in the pace of technological change. I am less convinced by the predictions of what this will mean for people and humanity, for example, the load of a person in our life.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The theory of singularity suggests that there will be a rapid acceleration in technological change. I find this plausible, but am less certain about the implications for humanity. Predictions such as the load of a person in our life are difficult to predict.




Jim Fruchterman is an American entrepreneur and founder of Benetech, a nonprofit organization that develops software for social impact. He is known for his work in the field of assistive technology, and has developed several tools to help people with disabilities access information. Fruchterman is also a recipient of the MacArthur Fellowship, commonly known as the “genius grant.”






Source: https://spectrum.ieee.org/computing/hardware/tech-luminaries-address-singularity



Keywords: Singularity, Technological Change, Humanity