Jesse Prinz on 2012

This AI Prediction was made by Jesse Prinz in 2012.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

More to the point, doom may come some centuries from now, after we are long gone



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Jesse Prinz:

Chalmers’ induction premise requires some method for moving up to arbitrary levels of intelligence. But it’s not clear that known methods of engineering guarantee such an outcome.


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Doom may occur centuries after humans are gone. Chalmers’ induction premise needs a way to increase intelligence levels, but current engineering methods may not guarantee this outcome.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I have been arguing that human beings are doomed. If the singularity already exists, then we are living in a simulation and that simulation is likely to have a catastrophe preprogrammed into it to prevent an intelligence explosion from within. If the singularity doesn’t exist, the technological advances that would take us toward it are likely to eventuate in machines that are smart enough to destroy us, but not yet supersmart. Either way, the future looks grim


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author believes that humans are doomed. If the singularity exists, the simulation we are living in may have a catastrophe programmed to prevent an intelligence explosion. If the singularity doesn’t exist, technological advances may lead to machines that are smart enough to destroy us but not yet supersmart.




Jesse Prinz is a renowned philosopher and cognitive scientist, known for his groundbreaking work in the fields of emotion, perception, and consciousness. Born in South Africa, Prinz received his undergraduate degree from the University of Cape Town before moving to the United States to pursue his graduate studies. He earned his PhD in philosophy from the City University of New York, where he studied under the influential philosopher Jerry Fodor.

Prinz has held academic positions at a number of prestigious institutions, including the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, the University of California, San Diego, and the University of Chicago. He is currently a Distinguished Professor of Philosophy at the City University of New York Graduate Center, where he also serves as the Director of the Committee on Interdisciplinary Science Studies.

Throughout his career, Prinz has published numerous articles and books on a wide range of topics, including the nature of consciousness, the role of emotions in moral judgment, and the relationship between language and thought.

His work has been widely cited and has had a significant impact on the fields of philosophy and cognitive science.In addition to his academic work, Prinz is also a frequent public speaker and commentator on issues related to philosophy, science, and culture. He has appeared on a number of popular podcasts and radio shows, and his writing has been featured in publications such as The New York Times, The Guardian, and The Atlantic.

Overall, Jesse Prinz is a highly respected and influential figure in the world of philosophy and cognitive science, whose work has helped to shape our understanding of the human mind and its relationship to the world around us.







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