Jeff Hawkins on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Jeff Hawkins in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Not provided



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Jeff Hawkins:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The article is a response to Jeff Hawkins’ argument that AI risk is overblown. The author argues that while Hawkins is correct in saying that current AI systems are not capable of taking over the world, the concern is about the potential for future AI systems to become superintelligent and pose a risk to humanity. The author also suggests that the risk of AI is not just about intentional harm, but also about unintended consequences and the difficulty of controlling a superintelligent system.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Well, maybe [Hans Moravec] knows that. That’s a different thing. I’m not building robots… I’ll concede he’s more expert in robotics. I’m more expert, probably, in… how brains do this… [If he’s right] and there’s some existential risk from robotics, then we ought to be looking into the existential risks from robotics… So if he believes there’s a threat, fine, but it’s not based on what I’m doing, about reverse-engineering the brain.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The speaker is not building robots and defers to Hans Moravec’s expertise in robotics. The speaker is more knowledgeable about how brains work. If Moravec’s concerns about existential risks from robotics are valid, then they should be investigated, but the speaker’s work is not related to reverse-engineering the brain.




Jeff Hawkins is a renowned American inventor, entrepreneur, and neuroscientist. Born on June 1, 1957, in Huntington, New York, Hawkins developed a keen interest in science and technology from a young age. He went on to study electrical engineering and computer science at Cornell University, where he earned his Bachelor of Science degree in 1979.Hawkins is best known for his groundbreaking work in the field of artificial intelligence and machine learning. In 1992, he co-founded Palm Computing, which developed the PalmPilot, one of the first successful handheld personal digital assistants. He later founded Handspring, which produced the Treo smartphone, a revolutionary device that combined a phone, PDA, and email in one.In addition to his work in technology, Hawkins is also a respected neuroscientist. He is the author of the book “On Intelligence,” which explores the workings of the human brain and proposes a theory of how the brain processes information. He is also the founder of the Redwood Center for Theoretical Neuroscience at the University of California, Berkeley.Throughout his career, Hawkins has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to science and technology. He was inducted into the National Inventors Hall of Fame in 2003 and received the IEEE Computer Society’s Computer Entrepreneur Award in 2004. He continues to be a leading figure in the field of artificial intelligence and is dedicated to advancing our understanding of the human brain.









Keywords: existential risk, robotics, reverse-engineering