This AI Prediction was made by Jacob Steinhardt in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Jacob Steinhardt:
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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The article discusses the long-term and short-term challenges in ensuring the safety of AI systems. Short-term challenges include the lack of transparency and interpretability of AI systems, while long-term challenges include the possibility of AI systems becoming superintelligent and potentially harmful to humans. The author suggests that addressing these challenges requires collaboration between researchers, policymakers, and industry leaders.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
The point of this essay is not to be alarmist; indeed, I think that AI is likely to be net-positive for humanity. Rather, the point of this essay is to encourage a discussion about the potential pitfalls posed by artificial intelligence, since I believe that research done now can mitigate many of these pitfalls.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The essay aims to discuss potential pitfalls of artificial intelligence and encourage a discussion about them. The author believes that research done now can help mitigate these pitfalls. However, the author also thinks that AI is likely to have a net-positive impact on humanity.
About:
Jacob Steinhardt was a renowned artist and printmaker born in Zerkow, Poland in 1887. He studied at the Academy of Fine Arts in Berlin and later moved to Palestine in 1933, where he became a prominent figure in the Israeli art scene.Steinhardt’s work is characterized by his use of bold lines and geometric shapes, often depicting biblical and Jewish themes. He was a member of the Bezalel School of Art and Design in Jerusalem and was instrumental in the development of the Israeli art world.Throughout his career, Steinhardt exhibited his work in numerous solo and group exhibitions, both in Israel and internationally. His prints and paintings can be found in collections at the Israel Museum, the Tel Aviv Museum of Art, and the Jewish Museum in New York City.Steinhardt’s legacy continues to inspire artists and art enthusiasts around the world. His contributions to the Israeli art scene and his unique style have cemented his place in art history.
Source: https://jsteinhardt.wordpress.com/2015/06/24/long-term-and-short-term-challenges-to-ensuring-the-safety-of-ai-systems/
Keywords: AI, humanity, potential pitfalls