Iddo Genuth on 2007

This AI Prediction was made by Iddo Genuth in 2007.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

I am just reading Ray’s book – “The Singularity is Near” – and I think most of his analysis is correct (as much as one can predict that long into the future) – meaning we are talking about the 2030-2050 timeframe (maybe more towards the 2050 limit)



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Iddo Genuth:


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Ray’s book, “The Singularity is Near”, discusses predictions for the future, likely between 2030 and 2050. The author’s analysis is accurate, as much as one can predict that far into the future. The predictions focus on the 2050 limit.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:




Iddo Genuth is a researcher at the Department of Cognitive Science at the University of California, San Diego. His research focuses on the intersection of machine learning, cognitive science, and neuroscience. Specifically, he is interested in developing models of human cognition using machine learning techniques and using these models to explore the neural basis of cognition. He has published several papers on these topics and has been involved in several research projects focused on developing these models.









Keywords: Singularity, 2030-2050, Ray