Gwern Branwen on 2010

This AI Prediction was made by Gwern Branwen in 2010.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)




Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Gwern Branwen:



Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Not provided



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Homo sapiens will be near or fully extinct by 2100 estimated 20%


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Not provided




Gwern Branwen is a writer and researcher who has written extensively on a wide range of topics related to AI, including machine learning, neural networks, and deep learning. He is known for his detailed analyses of the latest research in these areas, as well as his predictions about the future of AI.Branwen is known for his rigorous approach to research and his attention to detail. He has published a wide range of articles on his website,, which is a popular resource for researchers and enthusiasts interested in AI and related topics. In addition to his work on AI, Branwen has also written on a wide range of other topics, including nootropics, psychedelics, and the history of science.