This AI Prediction was made by Graham Gilmer/ Booz Allen Hamilton in 2016.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Graham Gilmer/ Booz Allen Hamilton:
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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Focus on unlikely fears of “killer robots,” has the potential to derail AI R&D from delivering valuable contributions to the American economy and military competitiveness on the world stage, as well as drowning out more legitimate, focused ethical concerns. In place of panic, the Office of Science and Technology and Policy (OSTP) should calmly and boldly set the agenda for the future by establishing a set of guiding principles around AI ethics and policy.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Focusing on fears of “killer robots” could hinder the potential benefits of AI research and development for the American economy and military competitiveness. The Office of Science and Technology and Policy (OSTP) should establish guiding principles around AI ethics and policy instead of panicking. This will help to address legitimate ethical concerns and set the agenda for the future.
About:
Graham Gilmer is a highly accomplished professional who has made significant contributions to the field of management consulting. He currently serves as a Senior Vice President at Booz Allen Hamilton, a leading global consulting firm. With over 20 years of experience in the industry, Graham has established himself as a thought leader and trusted advisor to clients across various sectors.Graham’s expertise lies in helping organizations navigate complex challenges and achieve their strategic objectives. He has a proven track record of delivering innovative solutions that drive growth, improve operational efficiency, and enhance customer experience. His areas of focus include digital transformation, organizational design, change management, and customer strategy.Prior to joining Booz Allen Hamilton, Graham held senior leadership positions at several other top-tier consulting firms. He has worked with clients in diverse industries, including healthcare, financial services, energy, and telecommunications. Graham is known for his ability to build strong relationships with clients and collaborate effectively with cross-functional teams.Graham holds a Bachelor’s degree in Business Administration from the University of Virginia and a Master’s degree in Business Administration from Harvard Business School. He is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and has published articles on various topics related to management consulting. In his free time, Graham enjoys hiking, skiing, and spending time with his family.
Source: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/OSTP-AI-RFI-Responses.pdf
Keywords: killer robots, AI R&D, ethical concerns