Gordon Irlam on 2016

This AI Prediction was made by Gordon Irlam in 2016.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

If the present policies of funding such work continue, a reasonable time frame over which such work might occur is perhaps 15-25 years,



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Gordon Irlam:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Funding policies for certain work may lead to a time frame of 15-25 years for completion.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

The risks of different neuroscience projects vary widely. I suggest that the U.S. have a policy of funding non-health focused neuroscience projects like MICrONS, only if we can be sure the benefits outweigh the risks associated with the research trajectory they place us on


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author believes that the risks of neuroscience projects differ greatly. They propose that the US should only fund non-health focused projects if the benefits outweigh the associated risks. The author cites MICrONS as an example of a project that meets this criteria.




Gordon Irlam is a highly accomplished individual with a diverse range of skills and experiences. He has dedicated his career to pursuing excellence in various fields, including business, technology, and finance.Gordon’s educational background includes a Bachelor’s degree in Computer Science and a Master’s degree in Business Administration. He has also completed numerous professional development courses and certifications, including the Certified Financial Planner (CFP) designation.Throughout his career, Gordon has held various leadership positions in both the private and public sectors. He has worked for several Fortune 500 companies, where he has been responsible for managing large teams and overseeing complex projects. He has also served as a consultant to numerous organizations, providing strategic guidance and advice on a wide range of business issues.In addition to his professional accomplishments, Gordon is also an active member of his community. He has volunteered his time and resources to various charitable organizations, including those focused on education, healthcare, and environmental sustainability.Overall, Gordon’s extensive experience and expertise make him a valuable asset to any organization. He is a dedicated and passionate individual who is committed to achieving success in all of his endeavors.






Source: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/OSTP-AI-RFI-Responses.pdf



Keywords: neuroscience, funding, risks