This AI Prediction was made by Gordon Bell in 2008.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Gordon Bell:
SINGULARITY WILL OCCUR Someday in the distant future
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
1. Singularity is a concept that refers to a point in the future when artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence.2. It is believed that this will lead to a rapid acceleration of technological development.3. Although the exact date of Singularity is unknown, it is expected to occur sometime in the distant future.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
I basically support the notion, but I have trouble seeing the specific transitions or break points that let the exponential take over and move to the next transition. [If it does occur,] there’ll be a hierarchy of machines versus having a separate race. [But] it is unlikely to happen, because the population will destroy itself before the technological singularity.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
I generally agree with the idea of a technological singularity, but I am unsure of how it would occur. It could lead to a hierarchy of machines, but it is unlikely due to the potential for population destruction. Overall, I am uncertain of the specifics of the singularity.
Gordon Bell is an American computer engineer and researcher. He is known for his work in the field of computer science, and has made significant contributions to the development of computer architecture and operating systems. Bell is also a co-founder of the Computer History Museum, which is dedicated to preserving and documenting the history of computing.
Keywords: Singularity, Exponential, Hierarchy