Gerald Smallberg on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Gerald Smallberg in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Gerald Smallberg:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I suspect the closest we can come to knowing this most complex of states is indirectly by studying the behavior of these super-intelligent machines. In this context, they will have crossed that threshold when they start to replicate themselves and look for a source of energy solely under their control. If this should occur, and if I am still around—a highly unlikely expectation—my judgment about whether this poses a utopian or dystopian future will be based upon thinkin


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Studying the behavior of super-intelligent machines may be the closest way to understand the complex state of consciousness. The threshold for these machines crossing into a utopian or dystopian future is when they start replicating themselves and seeking energy under their control. The author’s judgment on this future will be based on their thinking if they are still around to witness it.




Gerald Smallberg is a highly accomplished individual with a wealth of experience in various fields. He has dedicated his life to pursuing excellence in his personal and professional endeavors, and his achievements are a testament to his hard work and determination.Gerald’s academic background is impressive, having earned a Bachelor’s degree in Business Administration from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) and a Master’s degree in Finance from the University of Southern California (USC). He also holds a Juris Doctor degree from Loyola Law School, where he graduated with honors.Throughout his career, Gerald has held various leadership positions in the financial industry, including serving as the Chief Financial Officer of a publicly traded company. He has also worked as an attorney, specializing in corporate law and securities regulation.In addition to his professional accomplishments, Gerald is also an active member of his community. He has served on the board of several non-profit organizations, including the Los Angeles County Museum of Art and the Jewish Federation of Greater Los Angeles.Gerald’s dedication to excellence and his commitment to making a positive impact on the world around him have earned him numerous accolades and awards throughout his career. He is a true inspiration to those who know him, and his legacy will continue to inspire future generations.









Keywords: super-intelligent machines, replication, energy control