George Dyson on 2014

This AI Prediction was made by George Dyson in 2014.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from George Dyson:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The article argues that the current state of artificial intelligence (AI) is not as advanced as many people believe. The author contends that AI is still limited in its ability to understand and interpret complex human emotions and experiences. The article suggests that the hype surrounding AI may be more of a myth than a reality.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

We are currently in the midst of the greatest revolution in analog computing since the development of the first nervous systems. Should we be worried? Yes.On the other hand, will the results govern the world (and govern us) better (and perhaps more fairly) than we have, using our own brains, so far? Let’s hope.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The current revolution in analog computing is the greatest since the development of the first nervous systems. There is cause for concern. However, it is hoped that the results will govern the world better and more fairly than human brains have done so far.




George Dyson is a renowned historian of technology, science, and culture. Born in 1953 in England, Dyson grew up in a family of scientists and intellectuals. His father, Freeman Dyson, was a physicist and mathematician, while his mother, Verena Huber-Dyson, was a linguist and philosopher. Dyson’s interest in technology and its history began at an early age, and he went on to study philosophy and history of science at the University of Cambridge. He later moved to Canada, where he worked as a tree planter and a kayak builder, before returning to the United States to pursue a career as a writer and historian.Dyson has written several books on the history of technology, including “Turing’s Cathedral: The Origins of the Digital Universe” and “Darwin Among the Machines: The Evolution of Global Intelligence.” He has also written extensively on the cultural and social implications of technology, exploring topics such as the impact of the internet on society and the role of technology in shaping human history.In addition to his work as a writer and historian, Dyson is also a frequent speaker and commentator on technology and its impact on society. He has given talks at numerous conferences and events, and has appeared on television and radio programs to discuss his work.Dyson’s contributions to the field of technology history have been widely recognized, and he has received numerous awards and honors for his work. He is a fellow of the Royal Society of Canada and a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He currently lives in Washington State, where he continues to write and explore the history and impact of technology on society.









Keywords: analog computing, revolution, nervous systems