This AI Prediction was made by George Church in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from George Church:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Would such future Darwinian selection lead to disaster or to higher emphasis on humane empathy, aesthetics, elimination of poverty, war and disease, long-term planning—evading existential threats on even millennial time frames? Perhaps the hybrid-brain route is not only more likely, but also safer than either a leap to an unprecedented, unevolved, purely silicon-based brains
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The future of Darwinian selection could lead to disaster or a higher emphasis on humane empathy, aesthetics, and long-term planning. The hybrid-brain route may be safer than a leap to purely silicon-based brains. This could help evade existential threats on even millennial time frames.
George Church is a renowned American geneticist and molecular engineer, born on August 28, 1954, in MacDill Air Force Base, Florida. He is a professor of genetics at Harvard Medical School and a professor of health sciences and technology at Harvard and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). Church is widely recognized for his pioneering work in the field of genomics, particularly in the development of DNA sequencing technologies. He played a key role in the Human Genome Project, which aimed to sequence the entire human genome, and was instrumental in the development of the first direct genome sequencing method. In addition to his work in genomics, Church has also made significant contributions to synthetic biology, gene editing, and personalized medicine. He is the founder of several biotech companies, including Editas Medicine, which is focused on developing gene therapies for genetic diseases. Church has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to science, including the Breakthrough Prize in Life Sciences, the National Medal of Science, and the Franklin Institute’s Bower Award and Prize for Achievement in Science. He is also a member of the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Medicine. Church is a prolific author, with over 500 scientific publications to his name, and is a sought-after speaker on topics related to genomics, synthetic biology, and personalized medicine. He continues to push the boundaries of science and technology, with a focus on developing new tools and techniques to better understand and manipulate the genetic code.