This AI Prediction was made by Freeman Dyson in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
I do not believe that machines that think exist, or that they are likely to exist in the foreseeable future.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Freeman Dyson:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Freeman Dyson was a renowned British-American physicist and mathematician who made significant contributions to the fields of quantum mechanics, nuclear physics, and astrophysics. Born on December 15, 1923, in Crowthorne, England, Dyson was the son of a musician and a social worker. He attended the University of Cambridge, where he earned a degree in mathematics in 1945.After completing his studies, Dyson worked at the Royal Air Force’s Operational Research Section, where he applied his mathematical skills to help improve the efficiency of the RAF’s bombing campaigns during World War II. In 1947, he moved to the United States to work at the Institute for Advanced Study at Princeton University, where he became a professor of physics in 1953.Throughout his career, Dyson made significant contributions to a wide range of scientific fields. He was particularly interested in the study of quantum electrodynamics, which describes the interactions between light and matter. Dyson also worked on the development of nuclear weapons and was a vocal critic of the arms race between the United States and the Soviet Union.In addition to his scientific work, Dyson was also a prolific writer and thinker. He wrote several books on science and technology, including “Disturbing the Universe” and “Infinite in All Directions.” Dyson was also known for his unconventional ideas, such as his proposal for a space-based solar power system that could provide clean energy to the entire planet.Dyson received numerous awards and honors throughout his career, including the Enrico Fermi Award, the Templeton Prize, and the Wolf Prize in Physics. He passed away on February 28, 2020, at the age of 96, leaving behind a legacy of groundbreaking scientific research and innovative thinking.
Keywords: machines, think, exist