This AI Prediction was made by Frank Tipler in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
A simple calculation shows that our supercomputers now have the information processing power of the human brain. We do not yet know how to program human-level intelligence and creativity into these computers, but in twenty years, desktop computers will have the power of today’s supercomputers, and the hackers of twenty years hence will solve the AI programming problem
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Frank Tipler:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Further, there is no reason for violence between humans and AI’s. We humans are adapted to a very narrow environment, a thin spherical shell of oxygen around a small planet. AI’s will have the entire universe in which to expand. AI’s will leave the Earth, and never look back.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
There is no need for violence between humans and AI’s. Humans are limited to a small environment while AI’s have the entire universe to expand in. AI’s will eventually leave Earth and never return.
Frank Tipler is a renowned physicist and cosmologist, known for his groundbreaking contributions to the fields of physics and mathematics. Born on February 1, 1947, in Andalusia, Alabama, Tipler received his Bachelor of Science degree in physics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1969. He then went on to earn his Ph.D. in physics from the University of Maryland in 1976.Throughout his career, Tipler has made significant contributions to the fields of cosmology, quantum mechanics, and mathematical physics. He is best known for his work on the Omega Point Theory, which proposes that the universe will eventually collapse into a single point of infinite density and intelligence. This theory has been the subject of much debate and controversy within the scientific community.In addition to his work on the Omega Point Theory, Tipler has also made significant contributions to the study of black holes, the nature of time, and the foundations of quantum mechanics. He has authored numerous books and articles on these topics, including his seminal work, The Physics of Immortality.Tipler has received numerous awards and honors throughout his career, including the Guggenheim Fellowship, the National Science Foundation Fellowship, and the Templeton Prize. He has also been a fellow of the American Physical Society and the American Association for the Advancement of Science.Today, Tipler continues to be an active researcher and scholar, and his work continues to inspire and challenge scientists around the world. His contributions to the fields of physics and mathematics have had a profound impact on our understanding of the universe and our place within it.
Keywords: supercomputers, AI programming, human-level intelligence