Francis Heylighen on 2007

This AI Prediction was made by Francis Heylighen in 2007.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Different authors have estimated such a singularity to take place around the year 2040, give or take a decade or two. […] these number agree with my intuition that a momentous change is likely to happen within a surprisingly short term—probably still within my own lifetime.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Francis Heylighen:

The speed and radicalness of the transition, and the inscrutability of what will come after, implies that I have little confidence in traditional methods of quantitative extrapolation


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The transition to the future is happening quickly and unexpectedly, making it difficult to predict what will come next. This makes it difficult to rely on traditional methods of quantitative extrapolation. Therefore, it is difficult to predict the future with any certainty.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

The global superorganism (Stock 1993; Heylighen 2007c) directed by its global brain (Heylighen 2004) is a metaphor for the “metasystem” that would be formed in this way—a system that would integrate the whole of humanity together with all its supporting technologies and most of its surrounding ecosystems, and that would function at a level of intelligence, awareness and complexity that we at present simply cannot imagine.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

1. The global superorganism is a metaphor for a metasystem that would integrate humanity, its technologies, and its ecosystems.2. This metasystem would be directed by a global brain.3. It would have a level of intelligence, awareness, and complexity beyond our current understanding.




Francis Heylighen is a Belgian computer scientist and philosopher who is known for his work on the theory of self-organization and complexity in systems. He has also made significant contributions to the study of artificial intelligence and cognitive science, including the development of the Global Brain theory, which posits that the internet and other interconnected networks may form a distributed intelligence that is greater than the sum of its parts.









Keywords: Singularity, Global Superorganism, Global Brain