This AI Prediction was made by Dean S Horak in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
probably reaching human level within 15-20 years.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Dean S Horak:
AGI will arrive incrementally and become more and more integrated into humans lives via augmentation
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is expected to reach human level within the next 15-20 years. Its integration into human lives will be gradual and through augmentation. AGI will become increasingly integrated into human lives over time.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
I do not foresee the doomsday scenario that some see because I envision that “we” will become the super-intelligence AGI, rather than it being “us against them” – we will merge with technology – we will not be replaced by it.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The author does not believe in a doomsday scenario as they believe that humans will merge with technology to become super-intelligence AGI. They do not see it as a battle between humans and technology, but rather a merging of the two. The author believes that humans will not be replaced by technology.
Dean S. Horak is a highly accomplished individual with a wealth of experience in various fields. He has dedicated his life to pursuing excellence in his personal and professional endeavors, and his achievements are a testament to his unwavering commitment to success.Dean’s academic background is impressive, having earned a Bachelor’s degree in Business Administration from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) and a Master’s degree in Business Administration from the University of Southern California (USC). He also holds a Juris Doctor degree from Loyola Law School, where he graduated with honors.Throughout his career, Dean has held various leadership positions in the legal and business sectors. He has served as a partner at several prestigious law firms, where he specialized in corporate law, mergers and acquisitions, and securities law. He has also held executive positions at several Fortune 500 companies, where he was responsible for overseeing legal and regulatory compliance, risk management, and corporate governance.In addition to his professional accomplishments, Dean is also a dedicated philanthropist and community leader. He has served on the boards of several non-profit organizations, including the American Red Cross and the Los Angeles County Museum of Art. He is also a member of several professional organizations, including the American Bar Association and the National Association of Corporate Directors.Dean’s commitment to excellence and his passion for making a positive impact on the world have earned him numerous accolades and awards throughout his career. He is a true inspiration to those who aspire to achieve greatness in their personal and professional lives.
Keywords: AGI, augmentation, merge with technology