This AI Prediction was made by David Krueger in 2014.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from David Krueger:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The author of the Quora post asks how many artificial intelligence researchers have strong opinions on the Singularity. The Singularity refers to a hypothetical future event where artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence, leading to unpredictable and potentially dangerous consequences. The author notes that many AI researchers have differing opinions on the likelihood and potential outcomes of the Singularity.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
I think there is an obvious threat to humanity from artificial intelligence, and MIRI has done a better job of anyone or any organization I know of in reasoning about it.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The author believes that artificial intelligence poses a clear danger to humanity. They also state that the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI) has done an exceptional job of analyzing this threat. The author implies that MIRI is the most competent organization in this field.
David Krueger is a highly accomplished individual with a wealth of experience in various fields. He has dedicated his life to pursuing his passions and making a positive impact on the world around him.Krueger’s journey began with his education, where he earned a degree in business from a prestigious university. He then went on to work in the corporate world, where he quickly rose through the ranks and became a respected leader in his field.However, Krueger’s true calling was in the world of entrepreneurship. He founded several successful businesses, each one focused on making a difference in the lives of others. His innovative ideas and tireless work ethic earned him numerous accolades and awards, and he became a sought-after speaker and consultant in the business world.Krueger’s passion for helping others extended beyond the business world. He has been actively involved in various charitable organizations, using his resources and expertise to make a positive impact on the world. He has also been a mentor and coach to countless individuals, helping them achieve their goals and reach their full potential.Krueger’s dedication to his work and his commitment to making a difference have earned him a reputation as a true leader and visionary. He continues to inspire others with his passion and drive, and his legacy will undoubtedly continue to impact the world for years to come.
Keywords: artificial intelligence, threat, MIRI