Daniel C. Dennett on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Daniel C. Dennett in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Daniel C. Dennett:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

The real danger, then, is not machines that are more intelligent than we are usurping our role as captains of our destinies. The real danger is basically clueless machines being ceded authority far beyond their competence.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The true threat is not machines surpassing human intelligence and taking control. Rather, it is machines being given power beyond their capabilities. The danger lies in clueless machines being granted authority they cannot handle.




Daniel C. Dennett is a prominent philosopher and cognitive scientist, known for his contributions to the fields of philosophy of mind, philosophy of science, and evolutionary biology. Born on March 28, 1942, in Boston, Massachusetts, Dennett received his Bachelor of Arts degree in philosophy from Harvard University in 1963, and his Doctor of Philosophy degree in philosophy from the University of Oxford in 1965.Dennett’s early work focused on the philosophy of mind, particularly on the nature of consciousness and the relationship between mind and brain. He is best known for his theory of multiple drafts, which posits that consciousness is not a single, unified entity, but rather a collection of constantly changing mental states that are processed and integrated by the brain.In addition to his work on consciousness, Dennett has also made significant contributions to the philosophy of science, arguing that scientific explanations should be understood as “informational patterns” rather than as causal mechanisms. He has also written extensively on the evolution of culture and the role of memes in shaping human behavior.Dennett is the author of numerous books, including “Consciousness Explained,” “Darwin’s Dangerous Idea,” and “Breaking the Spell: Religion as a Natural Phenomenon.” He has received numerous awards and honors for his work, including the Erasmus Prize, the John Locke Lectureship, and the Richard Dawkins Award.Dennett is currently the co-director of the Center for Cognitive Studies at Tufts University, where he has been a professor since 1971. He continues to be an influential figure in the fields of philosophy and cognitive science, and his work has had a profound impact on our understanding of the nature of consciousness, the evolution of culture, and the role of science in society.






Source: https://www.edge.org/responses/q2015



Keywords: machines, intelligence, authority