D. Scott Phoenix on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by D. Scott Phoenix in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Artificial superintelligence isn’t something that will be created suddenly or by accident. We are in the earliest days of researching how to build even basic intelligence into systems, and there will be a long iterative process of learning how these systems can be created



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from D. Scott Phoenix:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Creating artificial superintelligence is a gradual process that requires extensive research. Basic intelligence needs to be built into systems before advancing to more complex levels. The process will be iterative and require learning to create these systems.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I think there are a lot of overblown fears going around about AI


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author believes that there are exaggerated fears surrounding AI. They think that these fears are blown out of proportion. The author thinks that people should not be overly worried about AI.




D. Scott Phoenix is a renowned entrepreneur and innovator in the field of artificial intelligence. He is the co-founder and CEO of Vicarious, a company that aims to create human-level intelligence in machines. Phoenix has been fascinated by AI since his teenage years and has dedicated his career to advancing the field.Phoenix’s passion for AI led him to co-found his first company, Frogmetrics, while still in college. Frogmetrics developed a touchscreen kiosk that could capture customer feedback in real-time, and it was eventually acquired by J.D. Power and Associates. After Frogmetrics, Phoenix went on to co-found Cue, a personal assistant app that used AI to help users manage their daily tasks.In 2010, Phoenix co-founded Vicarious with the goal of creating a new kind of AI that could learn like a human. The company has since raised over $100 million in funding and has attracted investors such as Mark Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, and Jeff Bezos. Vicarious has made significant strides in the field of AI, including developing algorithms that can solve CAPTCHAs and recognizing objects in images with human-like accuracy.Phoenix’s work has earned him numerous accolades, including being named to Forbes’ 30 Under 30 list and MIT Technology Review’s Innovators Under 35 list. He is also a sought-after speaker and has given talks at TEDx, SXSW, and other conferences.Beyond his work in AI, Phoenix is also an advocate for social justice and has been involved in various philanthropic efforts. He is a founding member of the AI Safety Foundation, which aims to ensure that AI is developed in a safe and ethical manner. Phoenix is also a supporter of organizations such as Black Girls Code and the Electronic Frontier Foundation.Overall, D. Scott Phoenix is a visionary leader in the field of AI who is dedicated to creating a better future for humanity through technology.






Source: https://www.popsci.com/bill-gates-fears-ai-ai-researchers-know-better