Colin Allen on 2011

This AI Prediction was made by Colin Allen in 2011.

Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Colin Allen:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

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The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I am skeptical about the Singularity, and even if “artificial intelligence” is not an oxymoron, “friendly A.I.” will require considerable scientific progress on a number of fronts. […] The challenge for philosophers and engineers alike is to figure out what should and can reasonably be done in the middle space that contains somewhat autonomous, partly ethically-sensitive machines

Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

I am skeptical about the Singularity and the concept of “friendly A.I.”. Philosophers and engineers must figure out what should and can be done with autonomous, ethically-sensitive machines. This requires considerable scientific progress in a number of areas.

About:

Colin Allen is a philosopher and cognitive scientist who has made important contributions to the fields of philosophy of science, philosophy of biology, and artificial intelligence. He is currently a professor of history and philosophy of science at the University of Pittsburgh in Pennsylvania, USA.Allen’s work on AI has focused on developing a better understanding of the relationship between human cognition and machine intelligence. He has argued that machine intelligence must be understood in the context of human cognitive processes, and has explored the implications of this view for the development of AI systems.Allen has published numerous articles and books on topics such as animal cognition, philosophy of science, and machine intelligence. He has received several awards for his research, including the Friedrich Wilhelm Bessel Research Award and the Jean Nicod Prize.