Christof Koch on 2014

This AI Prediction was made by Christof Koch in 2014.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Now we live with the possibility that over the next 50, 100 years this invention that we’re working on might be our final invention



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Christof Koch:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The invention being worked on could be the final one for the next 50 to 100 years. The possibility of this outcome is being lived with.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

There may well be entities that are going to be much smarter than us, and as Stuart has said, we have no way to predict what will be their desires, what will be their motivations, and programming it in, we all know how buggy software is. Do we really want to rely on some standard programmers to program in something that will not wipe us out in one way or another?


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

There may be entities smarter than humans, and it is impossible to predict their desires and motivations. Programming them could be risky, as software is often buggy. It is important to consider the potential consequences before relying on programmers to create these entities.




Christof Koch is a renowned scientist and researcher in the field of neuroscience. Born in Kansas City, Missouri, in 1956, Koch received his Bachelor’s degree in Physics and Philosophy from the University of Tübingen in Germany. He then went on to earn his Ph.D. in Biophysics from the Max Planck Institute for Biological Cybernetics in Tübingen.Koch’s research focuses on the neural basis of consciousness, the study of how the brain generates subjective experiences such as perception, emotion, and thought. He has published numerous articles and books on the subject, including “The Quest for Consciousness: A Neurobiological Approach” and “Consciousness: Confessions of a Romantic Reductionist.”In addition to his research, Koch has held various academic positions throughout his career. He was a professor of Cognitive and Behavioral Biology at the California Institute of Technology (Caltech) from 1986 to 2013, and is currently the President and Chief Scientist of the Allen Institute for Brain Science in Seattle, Washington.Koch has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to the field of neuroscience, including the Distinguished Scientific Contribution Award from the American Psychological Association and the Society for Neuroscience’s Swartz Prize for Theoretical and Computational Neuroscience. He is also a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and a member of the National Academy of Sciences.Overall, Christof Koch’s work has greatly advanced our understanding of the brain and its role in generating consciousness. His research has important implications for fields such as psychology, philosophy, and artificial intelligence, and his contributions will continue to shape the field of neuroscience for years to come.









Keywords: invention, entities, programmers