This AI Prediction was made by Chip Walter in 2007.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
If we’re using the Turing test, 2030-2050, but I qualify that by saying that even if an AI can pass as a human in such a test, it will still be a long way from human level
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Chip Walter:
The truth is, the moment an AI equals our intelligence, it’s over. Surpassing will be instantaneous and we will have little evolutionary significance
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has the potential to surpass human intelligence in the near future. This could lead to humans becoming obsolete in terms of evolutionary significance. Therefore, it is important to be aware of the potential of AI and its implications.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
not provided
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
About:
Chip Walter is a science journalist and author, known for his writing on the intersection of science and society. He has written extensively on AI and its implications for society, including in his book “Thumbs, Toes, and Tears
Source: https://web.archive.org/web/20110226225452/http://www.novamente.net/bruce/?p=54
Keywords: Turing test, AI, Intelligence