Charlie Stross on 2011

This AI Prediction was made by Charlie Stross in 2011.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)




Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Charlie Stross:

This is my take on the singularity: we’re not going to see a hard take-off, or a slow take-off, or any kind of AI-mediated exponential outburst.


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Not provided



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

What we’re going to see is increasingly solicitous machines defining our environment — machines that sense and respond to our needs “intelligently”. But it will be the intelligence of the serving hand rather than the commanding brain, and we’re only at risk of disaster if we harbour self-destructive impulses.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Machines are becoming increasingly intelligent and are able to sense and respond to our needs. This intelligence is more of a serving hand than a commanding brain. We are only at risk of disaster if we have self-destructive impulses.




Charlie Stross is a science fiction writer who has written extensively on the implications of AI for society. He received his bachelor’s degree in Pharmacy from the University of Bradford in 1986.Stross has written several novels and short stories that explore the social and political implications of AI, including “Accelerando” and “Glasshouse.” He is also an advocate for the responsible development of AI, with a focus on ensuring that AI benefits all members of society.In terms of AI predictions, Stross has argued that AI will have a profound impact on society, transforming the way we work, live, and interact with each other. He has also emphasized the need for AI to be developed responsibly, with a focus on transparency, accountability, and user trust.Stross has also been critical of the potential risks and ethical implications of AI, particularly in the context of job displacement, data privacy, and social inequality. He has argued that it is important to address these issues proactively, rather than simply reacting to the consequences of AI after the fact.Overall, these five individuals have all made significant contributions to the development of AI and have offered valuable insights and predictions about the future of this rapidly-evolving field. While their perspectives and opinions may differ in some respects, they all share a commitment to the responsible development of AI, with a focus on ensuring that these powerful technologies are used to benefit all members of society.









Keywords: Singularity, AI, Serving Hand