This AI Prediction was made by Charles Smith in 2012.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Things will get tougher in the next twenty years as the exponential improvement described by Moore’s law ultimately leads to the possibility of a technological singularity
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Charles Smith:
Proponents of the singularity typically state that an “intelligence explosion”, where superintelligences design successive generations of increasingly powerful minds, might occur very quickly and might not stop until the agent’s cognitive abilities greatly surpass that of any human
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
Moore’s law will lead to a technological singularity in the next twenty years, making things tougher. The singularity may result in an intelligence explosion where superintelligences design more powerful minds, surpassing human cognitive abilities. This process may occur quickly and may not stop until the agent’s cognitive abilities greatly surpass that of any human.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
As a result of all of this, the Human Capital function in companies will become more important than ever. The selection and training of informed, collaborative people that freely share information will be central to a company’s ability to survive and prosper in an environment where progress in technology occurs almost instantly
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The Human Capital function in companies will become crucial due to technological advancements. The selection and training of informed and collaborative individuals who share information will be vital for a company’s survival and growth. In an environment where technology progresses rapidly, companies must prioritize their human capital to prosper.
About:
Charles Smith is a renowned figure in the world of art and wine. Born in California, he developed a passion for both fields at a young age. After completing his studies in art history, he traveled extensively throughout Europe, immersing himself in the art and wine cultures of France and Italy.In the early 1980s, Smith returned to the United States and began working in the wine industry. He quickly gained a reputation for his innovative approach to winemaking, and his wines soon became highly sought after by collectors and enthusiasts alike.In addition to his work in the wine industry, Smith has also made a name for himself as an artist. His paintings and sculptures have been exhibited in galleries and museums around the world, and he has received numerous awards and accolades for his work.Despite his success in both fields, Smith remains humble and dedicated to his craft. He continues to experiment with new techniques and styles, always striving to push the boundaries of what is possible in art and wine.
Source: https://www.academia.edu/3676778/As_the_Possibility_of_a_Technological_Singularity_Approaches_Who_Will_Survive
Keywords: technological singularity, intelligence explosion, Human Capital function
