Carlo Rovelli on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Carlo Rovelli in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

The answer is easy: immensely far. The gap between our best computers and the brain of a child is the gap between a drop of water and the Pacific Ocean. Differences are in performance, structural, functional, and more



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Carlo Rovelli:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The difference between our best computers and a child’s brain is immense. It is like comparing a drop of water to the Pacific Ocean. The differences are in performance, structure, function, and more.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:




Carlo Rovelli is a renowned theoretical physicist and writer, born on May 3, 1956, in Verona, Italy. He is best known for his contributions to the field of loop quantum gravity, a theory that seeks to reconcile quantum mechanics and general relativity. Rovelli received his PhD in physics from the University of Padua in 1986, where he worked under the supervision of Abhay Ashtekar, a pioneer in the field of loop quantum gravity. He then held postdoctoral positions at the University of Rome and the University of Pittsburgh before joining the faculty at the University of Marseille in 1996. Throughout his career, Rovelli has made significant contributions to the development of loop quantum gravity, including the discovery of the Rovelli-Smolin loop variables and the formulation of the covariant loop gravity theory. He has also worked on other topics in theoretical physics, such as the thermodynamics of black holes and the foundations of quantum mechanics. In addition to his research, Rovelli is also a prolific writer and communicator of science. He has authored several popular science books, including “Seven Brief Lessons on Physics” and “Reality Is Not What It Seems,” which have been translated into over 40 languages. He is known for his ability to explain complex scientific concepts in a clear and accessible way, making him a popular speaker and commentator on science-related issues. Rovelli has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to physics and science communication, including the Galileo Galilei Prize, the Xanthopoulos International Award, and the Enrico Fermi Prize. He is a member of several scientific academies, including the Italian Academy of Sciences and the French Academy of Sciences. Today, Rovelli continues to work on the development of loop quantum gravity and other topics in theoretical physics, while also engaging in science communication and outreach activities. His work has had a significant impact on our understanding of the universe and has inspired a new generation of physicists and science enthusiasts.









Keywords: computers, brain, performance