Bill Gates on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Bill Gates in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Not provided



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Bill Gates:

You’ll be at the superhuman level almost as soon as that algorithm is implanted, in silicon. And actually as time goes by that silicon piece is ready to be implanted, the amount of knowledge, as soon as it has that learning algorithm it just goes out on the internet and reads all the magazine and books…


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Implanting the learning algorithm in silicon will enable humans to reach a superhuman level almost instantly. The silicon piece will be ready to be implanted soon, and with the learning algorithm, it can access and read all the books and magazines on the internet. As time passes, the amount of knowledge that can be accessed through the learning algorithm will increase.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

So I try not to get too exercised about this but when people say it’s not a problem, then I really start to get to a point of disagreement. How can they not see what a huge challenge this is?


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author is concerned about people who claim that a certain issue is not a problem. The author disagrees with this viewpoint and finds it difficult to understand how others cannot see the challenge at hand. The author tries not to get too worked up about it, but still feels strongly about the issue.




Bill Gates is an American entrepreneur, software developer, investor, and philanthropist. He was born on October 28, 1955, in Seattle, Washington. Gates is best known as the co-founder of Microsoft Corporation, one of the world’s largest software companies.Gates showed an early interest in computers and programming, and he wrote his first computer program at the age of 13. He attended Harvard University but dropped out in his sophomore year to start Microsoft with his childhood friend, Paul Allen, in 1975.Under Gates’ leadership, Microsoft became the dominant player in the personal computer software industry, with its Windows operating system installed on more than 90% of all personal computers worldwide. Gates served as CEO of Microsoft until 2000 and remained as chairman and chief software architect until 2008.In addition to his work at Microsoft, Gates is also known for his philanthropic efforts. In 2000, he and his wife, Melinda Gates, founded the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, which is dedicated to improving global health and reducing poverty. The foundation has donated billions of dollars to support research and development of vaccines, treatments, and other health interventions.Gates has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to the technology industry and philanthropy, including the Presidential Medal of Freedom, the highest civilian award in the United States. He is also a member of several prestigious organizations, including the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering.Today, Gates is one of the wealthiest people in the world, with a net worth of over $100 billion. He continues to be involved in technology and philanthropy, and his work has had a profound impact on the world.