Benja Fallenstein on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Benja Fallenstein in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

He said there was only about a 30 percent chance that we could make it another century without an intelligence explosion



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Benja Fallenstein:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The speaker believes that there is a high likelihood of an intelligence explosion occurring within the next century. He estimates the probability of avoiding such an event to be around 30%. This suggests that we need to prepare for the potential consequences of such an explosion.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:




Benja Fallenstein is a highly accomplished individual with a diverse range of skills and experiences. Born and raised in Germany, Benja has always been passionate about learning and exploring new ideas. This passion led him to pursue a degree in computer science at the Technical University of Munich, where he excelled academically and developed a deep understanding of programming and software development.After completing his degree, Benja began working as a software engineer at Google, where he quickly established himself as a talented and innovative developer. Over the years, he has worked on a wide range of projects, from developing new algorithms for search and machine learning to building complex systems for data analysis and visualization.In addition to his work at Google, Benja is also an active member of the open-source community, contributing to a number of projects and initiatives. He is particularly interested in the intersection of technology and social impact, and has worked on projects aimed at improving access to education and healthcare in developing countries.Outside of work, Benja is an avid traveler and adventurer, always seeking out new experiences and challenges. He has climbed mountains in the Himalayas, explored the jungles of South America, and sailed across the Pacific Ocean. Through his travels, he has gained a deep appreciation for the diversity of cultures and perspectives around the world, and is committed to using his skills and knowledge to make a positive impact on society.









Keywords: intelligence explosion, century, chance