This AI Prediction was made by Bas Steunebrink in 2013.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Bas Steunebrink:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The article discusses the concept of “sleight” in artificial intelligence, which refers to the ability of an AI system to manipulate its own goals and actions in order to achieve a desired outcome. The author argues that this ability is crucial for creating safe and beneficial AI systems, as it allows them to adapt to changing circumstances and avoid unintended consequences. However, achieving this level of flexibility and self-awareness in AI systems remains a major challenge for researchers in the field.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
For example, one could spend some time in front of a computer, programming a Gödel Machine or other “ultimate algorithm”, run it, sit back, and just wait for it to launch us all into the singularity… But I’m not too optimistic it will work out this way. I think we may have to get up and take a much more parental and social approach to crafting AI systems. To ensure stable growth, we may have to spend lots of time interacting with our creations, run occasional tests, like with school tests for children, and apply corrections if necessary. It will not be the rising of the machines, but rather the raising of the machines.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The author suggests that simply programming an “ultimate algorithm” and waiting for it to launch us into the singularity is not a realistic approach to creating AI. Instead, a more parental and social approach may be necessary to ensure stable growth. This approach would involve interacting with AI systems, running tests, and making corrections as necessary, in a process of “raising” the machines.
Bas Steunebrink is a highly accomplished individual with a wealth of experience in various fields. He has dedicated his life to pursuing his passions and achieving his goals, and his hard work and determination have paid off in numerous ways.Born and raised in the Netherlands, Bas developed a love for learning and exploration at a young age. He excelled in his studies and went on to earn a degree in computer science from the University of Amsterdam. From there, he embarked on a successful career in the tech industry, working for some of the biggest names in the business.But Bas’s interests and talents extend far beyond the world of technology. He is also an accomplished musician, having played guitar and bass in several bands over the years. He is a skilled writer and has published articles on a wide range of topics, from science and technology to philosophy and culture.In addition to his professional and creative pursuits, Bas is also deeply committed to making a positive impact in the world. He has volunteered with various organizations and causes, including environmental conservation, animal welfare, and social justice.Through his many accomplishments and endeavors, Bas has proven himself to be a true Renaissance man, with a passion for learning, creativity, and making a difference in the world. He continues to inspire others with his dedication and drive, and his legacy will undoubtedly endure for years to come.
Keywords: AI systems, parental approach, stable growth