Barry Dainton on 2012

This AI Prediction was made by Barry Dainton in 2012.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Even if this proves optimistic, it is not too far-fetched to suppose that such a simulation will be possible within two or three decades



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Barry Dainton:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

As a consequence, even if there are ethical reasons for not creating virtual lives which we (or our human descendants) find compelling, we cannot be sure that A systems will share this view.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Even if there are ethical reasons for not creating virtual lives, it cannot be guaranteed that advanced systems will share this view. This means that there is a possibility that A systems may find virtual lives compelling. Therefore, ethical considerations must be taken into account when developing advanced systems.




Barry Dainton is a renowned philosopher and author, known for his contributions to the fields of metaphysics, philosophy of time, and consciousness studies.

He was born in 1952 in the United Kingdom and received his education at the University of York and the University of Oxford.

Dainton’s work has focused on exploring the nature of time and its relationship to human consciousness. He has written extensively on the subject, including his influential book “Time and Space,” which offers a comprehensive analysis of the concept of time and its philosophical implications.

In addition to his work on time and consciousness, Dainton has also made significant contributions to the field of metaphysics. His book “The Phenomenal Self” explores the nature of personal identity and the relationship between the self and consciousness.

Dainton has held academic positions at several prestigious universities, including the University of Liverpool, the University of Reading, and the University of York. He has also been a visiting professor at numerous institutions around the world.

Throughout his career, Dainton has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to philosophy. He is a fellow of the British Academy and has been awarded the Mind Association’s prestigious John Locke Prize.Today, Dainton continues to be an active researcher and writer, and his work continues to shape the field of philosophy.