Arthur Clarke on 1962

This AI Prediction was made by Arthur Clarke in 1962.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:




Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Arthur Clarke:



Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:




The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I am almost tempted to argue that only unintelligent machines can be malevolent… Those who picture machines as active enemies are merely projecting their own aggressive instincts, inherited from the jungle, into a world where such things do not exist. The higher the intelligence, the greater the degree of cooperativeness. If there is ever a war between men and machines, it is easy to guess who will start it.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Machines cannot be malevolent as they do not possess aggressive instincts. The higher the intelligence of a machine, the more cooperative it is likely to be. If there is ever a war between men and machines, it is likely that humans will be the ones to start it.




Arthur C. Clarke was a British science fiction writer, inventor, and futurist. He was born on December 16, 1917, in Minehead, Somerset, England, and died on March 19, 2008, in Colombo, Sri Lanka.Clarke is best known for his science fiction novels, such as “2001: A Space Odyssey,” “Rendezvous with Rama,” and “Childhood’s End.” He was a prolific writer, publishing over 100 books in his lifetime, including both fiction and non-fiction works.In addition to his writing, Clarke was also an inventor and futurist. He proposed the idea of using geostationary satellites for telecommunications in 1945, a concept that became a reality in the 1960s. He also predicted the widespread use of personal computers, communication satellites, and the Internet.Clarke’s contributions to science fiction and technology earned him numerous awards and honors, including multiple Hugo and Nebula Awards, the UNESCO Kalinga Prize for popularizing science, and a knighthood from Queen Elizabeth II in 1998.




Keywords: Machines, Intelligence, War