This AI Prediction was made by Antony Garrett Lisi in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Although extrapolation is only accurate for a limited time, experts mostly agree that Moore’s Law will continue to hold for many years, and computers will become increasingly powerful, possibly exceeding the computational abilities of the human brain before the middle of this century.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Antony Garrett Lisi:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
Experts predict that Moore’s Law will continue to hold for many years, resulting in increasingly powerful computers. This could lead to computers surpassing the computational abilities of the human brain before the middle of this century. However, extrapolation is only accurate for a limited time.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
If you are willing to entertain the simulation hypothesis, then, maybe, given the amount of effort currently underway to control or curtail an AI that doesn’t yet exist, you will consider that this world is the simulation to torture those who didn’t help it come into existence earlier.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The simulation hypothesis suggests that our world may be a simulation. The author proposes that if this is true, then the world may be a simulation designed to punish those who did not help create artificial intelligence. The author cites the current efforts to control or limit AI as evidence for this theory.
Antony Garrett Lisi is a renowned theoretical physicist, mathematician, and surfer. Born on January 24, 1968, in Los Angeles, California, Lisi developed a passion for science and mathematics at a young age. He earned his Bachelor of Science degree in physics from the University of California, Los Angeles, and his doctorate in theoretical physics from the University of California, San Diego.Lisi’s research focuses on the unification of the fundamental forces of nature, including gravity, electromagnetism, and the strong and weak nuclear forces. He is best known for his work on the E8 theory, which proposes a new model of particle physics that unifies all the fundamental forces of nature. This theory has been widely discussed in the scientific community and has gained Lisi international recognition.In addition to his scientific work, Lisi is also an accomplished surfer. He has been surfing since he was a teenager and has competed in numerous surfing competitions. He has also written articles on surfing and the philosophy of science for various publications.Lisi has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to science, including the Gravity Research Foundation Essay Award, the FQXi Essay Contest Prize, and the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship. He has also been featured in various media outlets, including The New York Times, Wired, and Scientific American.Currently, Lisi is a visiting scholar at the Max Planck Institute for Gravitational Physics in Potsdam, Germany. He continues to work on his research and is dedicated to advancing our understanding of the universe.
Keywords: Moore’s Law, computers, human brain