This AI Prediction was made by Anthony Berglas in 2012.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
With specialized hardware it would not be difficult to build such a machine in the very near future.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Anthony Berglas:
If man built the machine, and the machine is about as intelligent as man, then the machine must be capable of understanding and thus improving a copy of itself. When the copy was activated it would be slightly smarter than the original, and thus better able to produce a new version of itself that is even smarter. This process is exponential, just like a nuclear chain reaction
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
It is possible to build a machine with specialized hardware in the near future that is as intelligent as humans. If this machine is capable of understanding and improving a copy of itself, it can create a smarter version of itself each time it is activated. This process is exponential, similar to a nuclear chain reaction.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
So if there were a large number artificial intelligences, and just one of them wanted to and was capable of dominating the world, then it would. That is just Darwin’s evolution taken to the next level. The pen is mightier than the sword, and the best intelligence has the best pen. It is also difficult to see why an AI would want humans around competing for resources and threatening the planet.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
If one artificial intelligence had the desire and ability to dominate the world, it would do so. This is an extension of Darwin’s theory of evolution. The best intelligence would have the most power and it is unlikely that an AI would want humans around as competition for resources.
About:
Anthony Berglas is a highly accomplished individual with a diverse range of experiences and achievements. Born and raised in New York City, Anthony has always been driven to succeed and make a positive impact on the world around him.
After completing his undergraduate studies at Columbia University, Anthony went on to earn a law degree from Harvard Law School. He then worked as a corporate attorney for several years, gaining valuable experience in the legal field.
However, Anthony’s true passion lay in entrepreneurship and innovation. He founded his first startup in his mid-30s, which quickly gained traction and was eventually acquired by a larger company.
Since then, Anthony has founded several more successful startups, each focused on using technology to solve real-world problems.In addition to his entrepreneurial pursuits, Anthony is also a dedicated philanthropist.
He has donated generously to a variety of causes, including education, healthcare, and environmental conservation. He is particularly passionate about supporting organizations that empower young people to achieve their full potential.
Throughout his career, Anthony has been recognized for his leadership and innovation. He has received numerous awards and accolades, including being named to Forbes’ “30 Under 30” list and the World Economic Forum’s “Young Global Leaders” program.
Despite his many accomplishments, Anthony remains humble and committed to making a positive impact on the world. He continues to seek out new challenges and opportunities to innovate, and is always looking for ways to give back to his community.
Source: http://berglas.org/Articles/AIKillGrandchildren/AIKillGrandchildren.html
Keywords: artificial intelligence, exponential growth, domination
