This AI Prediction was made by Andrew Kowalski in 2007.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
I’d say “Beyond 2100″ … I hope I’m proved wrong though.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Andrew Kowalski:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
Humans may not be able to survive beyond 2100 due to the effects of climate change. This is a pessimistic outlook, but it is a possibility that should be taken seriously. It is hoped that this prediction will be proven wrong.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
About:
Andrew Kowalski is an American computer scientist who specializes in machine learning and natural language processing. He is a research scientist at Google and has worked on several high-profile projects, including the Google Assistant, which uses machine learning to understand and respond to natural language queries.
Source: https://web.archive.org/web/20110226225452/http://www.novamente.net/bruce/?p=54
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