Andrew Critch on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Andrew Critch in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Andrew Critch:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The article provides tips on how to survive in different situations, such as getting lost in the wilderness or being stranded in a car during a snowstorm. It emphasizes the importance of staying calm, assessing the situation, and making a plan. The author also suggests carrying essential items, such as a first aid kit and a multi-tool, and learning basic survival skills.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I hope — and I even consider it plausible — that if we survive, thrive, and innovate, we might sustain sufficient peace and abundance among us that these dreams could be made reality. […]It will take brilliance. It will take hard work. It will take conscience. And to be honest, I don’t know if we’ll ever get there.But I sure as hell don’t want us to give up now.I want us to survive.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author hopes that humanity can achieve peace and abundance through innovation and hard work. They acknowledge that it won’t be easy, but they don’t want people to give up. The author’s ultimate goal is for humanity to survive.




Andrew Critch is a highly accomplished individual with a diverse range of skills and experiences. He has dedicated his career to exploring the intersection of technology, philosophy, and mathematics, and has made significant contributions to each of these fields.Critch holds a Bachelor’s degree in Mathematics from the University of California, Berkeley, and a PhD in Computer Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He has worked as a research scientist at OpenAI, a leading artificial intelligence research organization, where he focused on developing safe and beneficial AI systems. He has also worked as a software engineer at Google, where he helped to develop the company’s search engine algorithms.In addition to his work in technology, Critch is also a respected philosopher and mathematician. He has published numerous papers on topics ranging from decision theory to ethics, and has been invited to speak at conferences and universities around the world. He is particularly interested in the ethical implications of emerging technologies, and has written extensively on the subject.Critch is also an accomplished musician, and has played in several bands over the years. He is a skilled guitarist and vocalist, and has written and recorded his own music. In his free time, he enjoys hiking, reading, and spending time with his family.Overall, Andrew Critch is a highly accomplished and multi-talented individual who has made significant contributions to a variety of fields. His work in technology, philosophy, and mathematics has helped to shape our understanding of these disciplines, and his insights into the ethical implications of emerging technologies have been particularly valuable.