This AI Prediction was made by Amnon H. Eden, Eric Steinhart, David Pearce and James H. Moor in 2013.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Amnon H. Eden, Eric Steinhart, David Pearce and James H. Moor:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The article provides a scientific and philosophical assessment of the singularity hypotheses, which suggest that artificial intelligence will surpass human intelligence in the near future. The authors argue that while there is evidence to support the possibility of such a scenario, there are also limitations and uncertainties that must be considered. They suggest that a multidisciplinary approach is necessary to fully understand the implications of the singularity hypotheses.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
How are the lay public/political elites likely to respond if singularitarian ideas gain widespread currency? Will the 21st century mark the end of the human era? And if so, will biological humanity’s successors be our descendants? It is our hope andbelief that this volume will help to move these questions beyond the sometimeswild speculations of the blogosphere and promote the growth of singularity studiesas a rigorous scholarly discipline
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The text discusses the potential response of the public and political elites to the widespread acceptance of singularitarian ideas. It also raises questions about the end of the human era and the potential successors to biological humanity. The text aims to promote the growth of singularity studies as a rigorous scholarly discipline.
Amnon H. Eden, Eric Steinhart, David Pearce, and James H. Moor are prominent figures in the fields of philosophy, computer science, and artificial intelligence. Amnon H. Eden is a professor of computer science and philosophy at the University of Essex, UK. He has made significant contributions to the study of formal methods, software engineering, and the philosophy of computing. He is also known for his work on the foundations of computation and the nature of computation.Eric Steinhart is a professor of philosophy at William Paterson University, USA. He has written extensively on the philosophy of religion, metaphysics, and the philosophy of science. He is also a leading figure in the emerging field of digital philosophy, which explores the philosophical implications of digital technologies.David Pearce is a philosopher and transhumanist who advocates for the use of technology to eliminate suffering and enhance human well-being. He is the founder of the World Transhumanist Association and the author of several influential books, including The Hedonistic Imperative and Can Biotechnology Abolish Suffering?James H. Moor is a professor of philosophy at Dartmouth College, USA. He has written extensively on the philosophy of mind, artificial intelligence, and the ethics of technology. He is also known for his work on the concept of moral responsibility in the context of autonomous systems and artificial agents.Together, these four scholars have made significant contributions to our understanding of the relationship between technology, philosophy, and society. Their work has helped to shape the way we think about the role of technology in our lives and the ethical implications of its use.
Keywords: singularitarian ideas, human era, singularity studies