Alfred Nordmann on 2008

This AI Prediction was made by Alfred Nordmann in 2008.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Alfred Nordmann:


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Indeed, there is nothing wrong with the singular simplicity of the singularitarian myth—unless you have something against sloppy reasoning, wishful thinking, and an invitation to irresponsibility.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The singularitarian myth is based on sloppy reasoning, wishful thinking, and an invitation to irresponsibility. It is a simple concept, but this simplicity is not necessarily a good thing. There is something wrong with the singularitarian myth if one has an issue with its reasoning and implications.




Alfred Nordmann is a German philosopher of science and technology, and is known for his work on the ethical and social implications of emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, nanotechnology, and biotechnology.He was born on July 26, 1959 in Essen, Germany and studied philosophy, physics and mathematics at the University of Bonn, where he obtained his PhD in 1987. He then worked at the University of California, San Diego and the University of California, Berkeley, before returning to Germany to become a professor of philosophy at the Technical University of Darmstadt.Nordmann has published numerous articles and books on the philosophy of science and technology, including “If and Then: A Critique of Speculative Nanoethics” and “On the Ethics of Self-Defense against Bioterrorism.” His work often explores the relationship between science and society, and he has argued that science and technology must be understood in their broader social and political contexts.Nordmann has also been involved in various interdisciplinary research projects on emerging technologies, and has collaborated with scientists and engineers in fields such as nanotechnology and synthetic biology.While Nordmann is not primarily an AI scientist, his work on the ethics and implications of emerging technologies, including AI, has contributed to ongoing debates in the field of AI ethics.









Keywords: singularity, reasoning, irresponsibility