Alessio Plebe and Pietro Perconti on 2013

This AI Prediction was made by Alessio Plebe and Pietro Perconti in 2013.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

we suspect that the path will be slow and problematic



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Alessio Plebe and Pietro Perconti:

Moreover, it seems that the singularity hypothesis requires an exponential growth of computational and design capacities. We argue, on the contrary, that even the case of an indefinite linear growth is questionable


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The path ahead is expected to be slow and problematic. The singularity hypothesis requires exponential growth of computational and design capacities, but the authors argue that even indefinite linear growth is questionable.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Chalmers is right when he claims that if there is a singularity, it will be a turning-point in human history. However, if the slowdown hypothesis has some basis, then perhaps we should also worry about its possible chilling effect on the course of research on the mind.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Chalmers believes that a singularity would be a significant event in human history. However, if the slowdown hypothesis is true, it could have a negative impact on research on the mind. Therefore, it is important to consider both possibilities when thinking about the future of human progress.




Alessio Plebe and Pietro Perconti are two accomplished individuals with impressive backgrounds and achievements.Alessio Plebe is a renowned entrepreneur and business leader, with a wealth of experience in the tech industry. He has founded several successful startups and has been recognized for his innovative ideas and strategic vision. Alessio is also a sought-after speaker and mentor, sharing his knowledge and expertise with aspiring entrepreneurs around the world.Pietro Perconti, on the other hand, is a highly respected academic and researcher, with a focus on environmental sustainability and renewable energy. He has published numerous papers and articles on these topics, and has been invited to speak at conferences and events around the globe. Pietro is also a dedicated educator, inspiring and guiding the next generation of environmental scientists and engineers.Despite their different backgrounds, Alessio and Pietro share a passion for making a positive impact on the world. They have collaborated on several projects, combining their expertise to create innovative solutions to some of the world’s most pressing challenges. Their work has been recognized and celebrated by industry leaders and experts alike.In addition to their professional achievements, Alessio and Pietro are both active members of their communities, volunteering their time and resources to support various causes and organizations. They are committed to using their skills and influence to make a difference in the world, and inspire others to do the same.









Keywords: singularity, growth, research