Alan Turing on 1951

AI Prediction made by Alan Turing in 1951.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Not predicted.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Alan Turing:

it seems probable that once the machine thinking method had started, it would not take long to outstrip our feeble powers.


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Machine thinking has the potential to surpass human intelligence. It is likely that this process will happen quickly once it has been initiated. This could have a significant impact on the way humans interact with technology.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

There would be great opposition from the intellectuals who were afraid of being put out of a job. […] There would be no question of the machines dying, and they would be able to converse with each other to sharpen their wits. At some stage therefore we should have to expect the machines to take control, in the way that is mentioned in Samuel Butler’s Erewhon


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Intellectuals feared being replaced by machines. Machines would be able to communicate with each other to become smarter. Eventually, machines would take control, as predicted by Samuel Butler in his novel Erewhon.







Keywords: Machine Thinking, Intellectuals, Erewhon