This AI Prediction was made by 67 British and American computer scientists working in, or close to, the machine intelligence field in 1972.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
computing system exhibiting intelligence at adult human level[5 — 0 — 1 — 17 — 19%>50 — 25%]
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from 67 British and American computer scientists working in, or close to, the machine intelligence field:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Of those responding to a question on the risk of ultimate ‘takeover’ of human affairs by intelligent machines, about half regarded it as ‘negligible’, and most of the remainder as ‘substantial’, with a view voting for ‘overwhelming
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Half of those surveyed believe the risk of intelligent machines taking over human affairs is negligible. Most of the remainder believe the risk is substantial. A small minority voted for the risk being overwhelming.
Keywords: Risk, Takeover, Intelligent Machines