67 British and American computer scientists working in, or close to, the machine intelligence field on 1972

This AI Prediction was made by 67 British and American computer scientists working in, or close to, the machine intelligence field in 1972.

Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

computing system exhibiting intelligence at adult human level[5 — 0 — 1 — 17 — 19%>50 — 25%]

Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from 67 British and American computer scientists working in, or close to, the machine intelligence field:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

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The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Of those responding to a question on the risk of ultimate ‘takeover’ of human affairs by intelligent machines, about half regarded it as ‘negligible’, and most of the remainder as ‘substantial’, with a view voting for ‘overwhelming

Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Half of those surveyed believe the risk of intelligent machines taking over human affairs is negligible. Most of the remainder believe the risk is substantial. A small minority voted for the risk being overwhelming.